Second 100 chains see slowed sales growth for second consecutive year

Newly developed data reveal that the growth-oriented restaurant chains comprising the industry’s Second 100 universe have suffered the same fate as Top 100-ranked counterparts, with the second-tier brands’ aggregate domestic sales slowing for a second straight year.

Nation’s Restaurant News’ new Second 100 database paints a statistical picture of chains and corporations, those ranked Nos. 101-200 on the basis of U.S. sales and foodservice revenues, whose softness in their latest full fiscal years only set the stage for a now-deepening malaise in the consumer economy.

“Discretionary and disposable consumer income levels are under pressure, and restaurant sales, especially in full-service sectors, are reflecting these headwinds,” Joe Buckley, restaurant stock analyst at Banc of America Securities LLC, stated this month. “In recent years, there has been a sector market share shift within the industry with the quick-service sector generating positive same-store sales growth and gaining share while the casual-dining sector has been an underperformer with negative same-store sales comparisons and an even more meaningful loss of customer traffic.”

ALPHABETIC INDEX OF SECOND 100 COMPANIES(Use numeric rankings below to locate Latest Year results in corresponding Second 100 Companies tables, pages 52-53 and 61)LATEST ANNUAL RANKINGSNote: The three Second 100 companies not ranked by revenue growth rate had no foodservice revenue on the preceding year.
  
COMPANYCOMPANY HEADQUARTERSFOODSERVICE REVENUEREVENUE GROWTH RATE
ABP Corp.Boston13124
AFC Enterprises Inc.Atlanta16322
American Restaurant Group Inc.Los Altos, Calif.12891
Anheuser-Busch Cos.St. Louis14350
Apax Partners Worldwide LLPNew York13025
Applegrove Restaurants LLCAtlanta12265
Apple-Metro Inc.Harrison, N.Y.19568
Argonne Capital Group LLCAtlanta1726
Ark Restaurants Corp.New York19147
B.F. Operations Holdings LLCAnaheim, Calif.1381
Back Bay Restaurant Group Inc. Boston16781
Benihana Inc.Miami10726
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.Omaha, Neb.16434
BF CompaniesLouisville, Ky.13942
Blackstone Group LPNew York1147
Border Foods Inc.Minneapolis15790
Borders Group Inc.Ann Arbor, Mich18014
BR Associates Inc.Jasper, Ind.18848
Bravo Development Inc.Columbus, Ohio11523
Brockway Moran PartnersBoca Raton, Fla.19063
Bubba Gump Shrimp Co.San Clemente, Calif.16512
Buca Inc.Minneapolis12495
Buffet PartnersLP Plano, Texas19487
Bunker Hill Capital LPBoston12758
Carlisle Corp.Memphis, Tenn.17972
Carolina Restaurant Group Inc.Charlotte, N.C.18073
Casey’s General Stores Inc.Ankeny, Iowa10519
Caspers Co.Tampa, Fla.17094
Cedar Enterprises Inc.Columbus, Ohio15082
Centre Partners Management LLCNew York11062
Consolidated Restaurant Operations Inc.Dallas15296
Così Inc.Deerfield, Ill.17827
DavCo Restaurants Inc.Crofton, Md.13346
Deli Management Inc.Beaumont, Texas11616
DineEquity Inc.Glendale, Calif.1263
Donatos Pizzeria LLCColumbus, Ohio18288
F&H Acquisition Corp.Wichita, Kan.1399
Famous Dave’s of America Inc.Eden Prairie, Minn.18731
Fired Up Inc.Spicewood, Texas14984
Flying J Inc.Brigham City, Utah11170
Frisch’s Restaurants Inc.Cincinnati11267
Fugate EnterprisesWichita, Kan.14629
gategroupZurich, Switzerland135
Gordon Biersch Brewery Restaurant Group Inc.Chattanooga, Tenn.17713
GSO Capital PartnersNew York108
Guest Services Inc.Fairfax, Va.18851
Holm Restaurants LLCOrlando, Fla.18276
Houlihan’s Restaurants Inc. Leawood, Kan.17480
Interfoods of America Inc.Miami16086
J. Alexander’s Corp.Nashville, Tenn.17357
Jacobson PartnersNew York12528
The Jan Cos.Cranston, R.I.17161
Kimpton Group Holding LLCSan Francisco16645
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Inc.Winston-Salem, N.C.10393
The Krystal Co.Chattanooga, Tenn.10659
La Madeleine Inc.Dallas18566
Legal Sea Foods Inc.Allston, Mass.13241
Leonard Green & Partners LPLos Angeles10836
Loews Corp.New York19830
LRI Holdings Inc.New York102
Magic Restaurants LLCAustin, Texas14473
Max & Erma’s Restaurants Inc. Columbus, Ohio15489
Mazzio’s Corp.Tulsa, Okla.19668
Merritt GroupLas Cruces, N.M.14571
Nordstrom Inc.Seattle15360
Pacific Equity PartnersQueensland, Australia19277
Palladium Equity Partners LLCNew York15540
Palm Management Corp.Washington, D.C.16877
Patina Restaurant Group LLCNew York1415
Pilot Travel Centers LLCKnoxville, Tenn.12143
The Portillo Restaurant GroupOak Brook, Ill.13737
Potbelly Corp.Chicago15110
Prime Hospitality Fairfield, N.J.18439
Quality Dining Inc.Mishawaka, Ind.11944
Riese OrganizationNew York17611
Rock Bottom Restaurants Inc.Louisville, Colo.10138
The Rose GroupNewton, Pa.16118
Royal Capital Corp.Atlanta1564
RPM Pizza Inc.Gulfport, Miss.20064
Rubio’s Restaurants Inc.Carlsbad, Calif.15921
Sears Holdings Corp.Hoffman Estates, Ill.17592
Seminole Tribe of FloridaHollywood, Fla.1472
Shari’s Management Corp. Beaverton, Ore.15854
Sheetz Inc.Altoona, Pa.10452
Simmonds Restaurant ManagementOmaha, Neb.19717
Six Flags Inc. New York11849
Specialty Restaurants Corp.Anaheim, Calif.19856
Tacala LLCBirmingham, Ala.16283
Texas Pacific GroupFort Worth, Texas13597
Thomas & King Inc.Lexington, Ky.11755
TRT Holdings Inc.Corpus Christi, Texas19332
United States Beef Corp.Tulsa, Okla.12353
Valenti Management Inc.Tampa, Fla.14233
Valley Services Inc.Flowood, Miss.14720
W.H. Braum Inc.Oklahoma City13475
Wisconsin Hospitality Group LLCWauwatosa, Wis.16985
Wynn Resorts Ltd.Las Vegas12035
Yucaipa Cos.Los Angeles12977
Zaxby’s Franchising Inc. Athens, Ga.18615
Zensho Co. Ltd.Tokyo1138

Data from the NRN Second 100 study place the aggregate sales of the qualifying chains at $29.29 billion, up from the preceding year’s collective total of $28.11 billion. However, the rate of sales growth slowed to a 4.19- percent pace in the latest year, down from 5.08 percent a year earlier.

A big drag on the overall growth rate was exerted by the slumping casual-dining sector. The 35 casual chains that qualified for rankings in this year’s Second 100 represented 33.93 percent of its entire chain universe. Eliminating from the overall data those 35 chains’ results – which included latest-year sales growth of 2.81 percent, half the casual group’s 5.59-percent clip of a year earlier—the remaining 65 Second 100 chains would have posted a slight year-to-year uptick in sales growth percentage.

Excluding the casual-dining sector, those 65 other brands’ sales rose by a collective 4.91-percent rate in the latest year, up from 4.82 percent a year earlier.

Driving that growth were sectors that posted sales increases higher than inflation rates, suggesting real gains in same-store sales. Bakery-cafe chains in the Second 100 led the way with segment sales growth of 11.70 percent, up from 7.98 percent a year earlier. The bump was aided by strong results from first-time Second 100 qualifier Bruegger’s as well as the Tim Hortons and Corner Bakery chains.

SECOND 100 CHAINS RANKED BY GROWTH IN U.S. FRANCHISED UNITS(Year-to-year percentage change) Note: The 41 Second 100 chains not listed on this table do not franchise or began franchising in the latest year.*Actual results, estimates or projectionsSource: NRN research
    GROWTH IN FRANCHISED UNITS*
LATEST- YEAR RANKPRECEDING- YEAR RANKCHAINSFISCAL YEAR-ENDLATEST VS. PRECEDINGPRECEDING VS. PRIOR
15Corner BakeryDec. ’07150.0033.33
21Taco BuenoDec. ’07144.44 350.00
33Caribou CoffeeDec. ’0771.4340.00
44Einstein Bros. BagelsDec. ’0730.1138.81
59Tim HortonsDec. ’0729.4521.68
614Old ChicagoDec. ’0728.0013.64
76Qdoba Mexican GrillOct. ’0722.9828.50
88On the Border Mexican Grill & CantinaJune ’0819.2323.81
910Moe’s Southwest GrillDec. ’0717.9621.43
1015WingstopDec. ’0717.5813.28
1111Famous Dave’sDec. ’0715.3818.18
1219Jason’s DeliDec. ’0714.939.84
137McAlister’s DeliDec. ’0714.8024.05
1451Max & Erma’sOct. ’0714.29-8.70
1513Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Family Sports Pub Dec. ’0712.4416.11
1629Johnny Rockets April ’0810.572.50
1718Wyndham Hotels & ResortsDec. ’079.0910.00
1857CheckersDec. ’078.88-17.52
1916Bruegger’s Bagel BakeryDec. ’075.8310.75
2023Westin Hotels & ResortsDec. ’075.005.26
2156Johnny Carino’s Italian/Carino’s Italian GrillJune ’084.94-16.49
2222Hungry Howie’s Pizza Dec. ’074.175.35
2354FuddruckersSept. ’073.77-12.40
2421Circle KJune ’083.197.56
2546Round Table PizzaDec. ’073.10-4.05
2626Auntie Anne’s Hand-Rolled Soft PretzelsDec. ’070.953.53
2717Huddle House April ’080.7310.72
2825Taco John’sDec. ’070.485.00
2927WienerschnitzelDec. ’070.283.20
3055Benihana of TokyoMarch ’080.00-15.38
3032Big Boy Restaurant & Bakery Dec. ’070.000.83
3033BJ’s Restaurant & Brewery/Brewhouse/Pizza & GrillDec. ’070.000.00
3049Champps AmericanaJune ’080.00-7.69
3042DoubleTree, Club & Guest Suites hotelsDec. ’070.00-1.96
3012Flying J Travel PlazaJan. ’080.0016.67
3024Houlihan’sSept. ’070.005.17
3033Lone Star Steakhouse & SaloonDec. ’070.000.00
3031Sizzler April ’080.001.15
3059Taco CabanaDec. ’070.00-25.00
4037Godfather’s PizzaMay ’08-0.21-0.41
4140Rally’s Hamburgers Dec. ’07-0.71-1.75
4238Village Inn Oct. ’07-2.11-1.04
4345Fazoli’sMarch ’08-3.35-3.76
4443Marie Callender’s Restaurant & Bakery Dec. ’07-4.44-2.17
4544Sonny’s Real Pit Bar-B-QDec. ’07-4.65-3.01
4641Baja Fresh Mexican GrillDec. ’07-5.19-1.91
4753Western Sizzlin’Dec. ’07-5.93-9.23
4858Casey’s General Stores April ’08-6.67-21.05
4920Shoney’sOct. ’07-6.968.49
5052A&W All American FoodDec. ’07-7.56-8.94
5147KrystalDec. ’07-7.65-5.03
5250Coco’sDec. ’07-9.09-8.33
5330Schlotzsky’s Deli Dec. ’07-9.491.93
5433HomeTown BuffetJune ’08-11.110.00
5539Au Bon PainAug. ’07-13.33-1.32
562Bonefish GrillDec. ’07-14.2975.00
5728Chevys Fresh MexDec. ’07-14.713.03
5848Blimpie Subs & SaladsDec. ’07-20.14-5.41
5933Harrah’sDec. ’07-25.000.00

As fast-casual brands, those hybrids—combining casual-dining-type ambiance and menu items along with quick-service-type speed and pricing—appear to have hit a sweet spot with the consumer. Among the top five chains ranked by largest sales growth, four were fast-casual brands, led by Pei Wei Asian Diner and including Qdoba Mexican Grill.

“Fast-casual is where the industry is leading to,” said Shawn Foster, president and chief executive of Foster’s Franchise Concepts in Haymarket, Va., operator and franchisor of 22-unit Foster’s Grille. “There are parents out there wanting to feed their children quickly and at a reasonable price. With fast-casual concepts, they can get in and out for under $10 per person and not have to tip the server.”

The success of fast-casual formats, especially during harsh economic times, has made that category a target for competitors in all restaurant segments. Quick-service chains have upgraded menu items to compete with fast-casual offerings, and casual-dining chains have worked to increase speed of service and offer lower-priced entrées, especially during lunch.

“Competition is getting tougher within this segment,” said foodservice researcher Darren Tristano, executive vice president of Chicago-based Technomic Information Services. “New chains are constantly emerging. … Meanwhile, quickservice chains are trying to lure customers back by revamping their offerings and sometimes their decor to compete with fast-casual concepts. To continue competing successfully, fastcasual chains must align themselves even more closely with the needs of their target customers.”

A newcomer to the Second 100 chain universe, Wingstop, a chicken wing specialty concept, said its focus on customer needs helped drive a sales surge of 34.61 percent in fiscal 2007. This month the chain also posted its 20th consecutive quarterly same-store sales increase. Wingstop’s same-store sales rose 6.8 percent in the period, following an 8.9-percent increase in this year’s first quarter and an 11.8-percent increase in the fourth quarter of 2007.

Wingstop officials cited as sales drivers a new onlineordering system and bundled meals that include wings with such sides as potato salad, French fries or cole slaw.

“We’ve done everything we can to make ordering fast and simple,” Wingstop president and chief executive James A. Flynn said. “Also, our concept is inherently more recession-proof because of our low price points and the fast-casual counter service, which doesn’t require tipping. A large percentage of our business is take-home, and our value really stacks up against everything, including buying the groceries and cooking.”

Value has been a buzzword for years now, as restaurant brands seek to give today’s consumer a high-quality product for appetizing prices. But that goal has grown tougher this year as commodity and labor costs have continued to rise.

Among restaurant sectors that were unable to boost customer traffic in their latest fiscal years were family dining and buffet. Two of the largest parent companies in those segments have filed for bankruptcy protection: Vicorp Restaurants Inc., which operates or franchises two Second 100 chains, Bakers Square and Village Inn; and Buffets Holdings Inc., which operates or franchises two other Second 100 players, HomeTown Buffet and Old Country Buffet. Both HomeTown and Old Country qualified a year earlier as Top 100 chains, but fell to the Second 100 amid location closures and declining sales.

Despite the inherent challenges in the restaurant sector today, merger-and-acquisition activity among the second-tier chains and companies remained robust. All of the top five companies ranked by U.S. foodservice revenue growth saw their top lines rise as a result of acquisitions. The deals spanned the gamut of restaurant segments, too, from B.F. Operations Holdings’ purchase of fast-casual La Salsa Fresh Mexican Grill to DineEquity Inc.’s purchase of casual-dining giant Applebee’s to Royal Capital Corp.’s deal to buy family-dining chain Shoney’s. Royal Capital is a long-time Church’s Chicken franchisee.

While those transactions showcased strategic buyers, or restaurant operators purchasing other restaurant operators, the presence of private-equity owners among this year’s Second 100 companies remained forceful. In the latest year gauged by Second 100, 15 private-equity groups qualified for company rankings, up from 11 such outfits a year earlier.

“Private-equity firms continue to possess significant liquidity and are poised to be opportunistic in this marketplace,” according to Denver-based investment bank The Cypress Group, which focuses on middle-market franchise and multiunit restaurant deals. “Smaller middle-market transactions have been less affected by current economic and financing dynamics resulting in a more predictable deal environment for the lower middle-market.”

Indeed, newcomers to this year’s Second 100 company universe included private-equity firms GSO Capital Partners, which has since been acquired by Blackstone Group LP, and Argonne Capital Group, which through numerous transactions has become one of the largest IHOP franchisees.

Among Second 100 companies that posted the highest organic growth, or revenue growth without the aide of acquisitions, were Pot Belly Corp., Bubba Gump Shrimp Co. and Gordon Biersch Brewery Restaurant Group Inc.

Slowed overall growth spurs casual chains to test new initiatives

In-store feeders offer value bundles, branded fare to sate shoppers

Hotels utilize celebrity chefs, nostalgic dishes to grab travel dollars

Sandwich players’ latest promotions pitch value, health, loyalty

On-site players fight sales contraction by streamlining labor, ops

Mindful of outside competitors, family feeders update menus, images

Faced with cost pressures, pizza chains test new media marketing

Bakery-cafes rise in Second 100 rankings despite higher food costs

C-stores pursue sales gains with fresh, value-driven food offerings

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