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West: California struggles, Arizona gainsWest: California struggles, Arizona gains

Economic performance is a mixed bag out west, but it’s not slowing restaurant group investment.

Mark Hamstra

August 28, 2024

30 Slides
Mina Bourbon Steak New York Seafood trolley2 Rey Lopez.jpg

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San Francisco-based Mina Group, founded by renowned chef Michael Mina, operates more than 30 restaurants around the world, with a focus on innovative fine-dining destinations. The restaurants include several locations of Bourbon Steak in major markets across the country, among other concepts.Courtesy of Mina Group

While most of the U.S. has enjoyed relatively low unemployment, many Western states have struggled with above-average jobless rates. California and Nevada both had unemployment levels of 5.2% as of June, ranking them at the bottom of all 50 states, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. That compared with the national average of 4.1%. Only Washington, D.C., had a higher rate, at 5.3%.

Read about the 125 biggest restaurant groups in America here.

One recent economic forecast from BMO Economics projected that California’s unemployment rate would average 5.5% for the full year and increase to 5.6% in 2025. High housing costs, declining population, and looming government budget deficits will pressure the state’s economy in the near term, the report said.

Washington also has been facing rising unemployment, which reached 4.9% in June, compared with 3.8% in June 2023. Job growth has actually been stronger than expected, however, according to the state’s Economic and Revenue Forecast Council. The Council reported mixed economic signals, with above-average inflation, particularly in the Seattle area, and a slowdown in wage growth.

Arizona, by contrast, has shown more signs of economic strength. The state’s June unemployment rate of 3.3% was well below the national average, as Arizona continues to see expansion in the health care, leisure and hospitality, wholesale trade, professional/technology and construction industries, according to a recent report from Arizona State University. In fact, Arizona has led the nation with $40 billion in new investments in the semiconductor industry alone since 2021, the report found.

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